Weapons for resolute traders
If you occasionally read this blog, you may have noted that I often say that r.Virgeel is not a trading system. I want to warn the newcomers that they will not find any automatic fount of wealth here. Any serious trader has matured its activity in a deeply constructed attitude: call it a plan, or…
Waves and Cycles
When you get the patterns into the wave observation, you will see the cycles. Cycles that expand and contract, that generates trends, cycles of any dimension. Cycles that change continuously.
rv.Signal and rv.Position
I often receive questions about rv.Signal and rv.Position indicators and supposing they generate a bit of confusion, I hope the following may help. In origin, it was Signal. It was the first attempt to generate inversion warnings. Its model was hand trained. Then, with various steps, it has developed into the first version of the…
How r.Virgeel is trained
Following the requests coming from some users that were initially confused about how to interpret the signals coming out from r.Virgeel, I think that nothing is better than to explain how the indicators are produced. I have never done it before so extensively. The process is very different from the calculations for a technical indicator…
As you asked: Intraday
“I wanted to ask you if you ever thinking about making an intraday trading system.” (W.M.) In the past, I already tried to build a real time version of the model, but it has some limitations: it’s hard to have quality data for a large set of instruments without “holes” and back in time…
Going Forward
For many months, I’ve tried to put together the pieces to have a long term database, monthly based and with a huge history. I was moved by the progress of the monthly forecast, that I see sharper than before. No way. Data is largely unavailable. Very few series of mayor commodities and indices are out…
Daily forecast accuracy sample
I wish to stick to showing you samples of the r.Virgeel activity, in (almost) real time. There is no other way to test r.Virgeel than real time. Also, to avoid the “well chosen sample” effect. Here, on the left, the forecasted bars evaluated on May 17th, on the right the chart of the actual bars…
The Indicators
This post explains the main website feature: the indicators that form r.Virgeel vision of the market. The indicators are: Bars ahead – neurally calculated – H/L/C is forecasted for the next 24 bars Target– neurally calculated – where the current move is heading Stop – neurally calculated- a value that confirm the trend and generates…